الاثنين، 9 فبراير 2009

How Many Times Have You Exited a Position Early?

Do you have a problem with exiting your positions too early? I always have. It’s one aspect of my trading that concerns me because I’m never sure if closing it early was the smart thing to do. Let me give you an example which just happened to occur today. I went long on the EUR/CAD before the European session open. I went to bed and woke up to see the position up 80 pips. I had a 100 pip stop loss and a 200 pip target. I was a bit surprised to see it up this much so quickly. I thought about it for a minute and decided to close the position and take the profit. Why violate my pip target? Based on my experience with the ebb and flow of the currency market, I figured there was a good chance that the price will not continue in my direction and retrace, wiping out any profit I had. I’ve seen this happen so many times. Today, this didn’t happen. The EUR/CAD continued going up and would have easily hit my 200 pip profit target. This frustrates me more than losing. Here are a couple of ways I’ve handled a position that goes in my favor by a substantial amount:

In scenario #1, I feel good about the trade if I close it out and then it does exactly what I thought it would, turn against me. I don’t feel so good if the pair continues in my favor after I’ve closed it and would have hit my target.

My feelings in scenario #2 and very similar to those in scenario #1.

In scenario #3, I feel great about the results of the trade.

So which is better, any of the three scenarios or flat out losing money on a trade? I think not losing money is best but the first two scenarios can sometimes lead to losing money. If I’m not getting a decent reward/risk because I’m exiting a position too early, when I do hit that losing streak (trust me, it will happen), my losses could be much greater than my gains. How many times have you closed a position early when it at a negative and not going in your favor? I can count the times on one hand.

I’d love some feedback on what your experiences are and if you can relate to my possible problem. It hasn’t affected my profit the last month and a half though. I’m up over 13% this month alone but like I said, this could be short-lived if I don’t address this now.

forex Traffic


I got a couple of comments about the top 200+ forex website rankings; mostly how they weren't accurate. The rankings before were dependent on how Alexa sorted the sites in their category listings. I was pulling data in the order in which they gave it to me. As some of you noticed, some sites were listed ahead of others even though their Alexa Rank wasn't higher. The one website that got shafted the most in the rankings was Oanda which had the highest Alexa traffic rank but was listed as #19 in the rankings. I fixed this tonight and now the rankings are based on traffic rank. You can see that Oanda benefited greatly from this change. http://www.forexontop.com

In addition, every forex websites Alexa traffic rank is also listed. More enhancements coming soon.

Access To High Leverage Does Not Mean You Have To Use It

May 13, 2008 by Trader Rich

The May issue of Currency Trader Magazine is out. Highlights include:

  • Forex Margin - You have access to extremely high leverage in the forex market, but that doesn’t mean you have to use it.
  • Can anything stop the Euro?
  • Time the Euro using short-term momentum.
  • Currencies and stock markets.
  • The latest on the Aussie and kiwi dollars.
  • Bank of Japan get a new chief.

Places To Get a Great Forex Trading System

Places To Get a Great Forex Trading System

September 7, 2008 by Trader Rich

It’s very important that if you’re exploring forex trading or already trading that you have a trading system. One aspect of that trading system are the actual setup rules which usually contain entry and exit techniques. Traders put a lot of time and effort in developing these setup rules too often neglecting other aspects such as position sizing or relative size of your profits compared to losses. Therefore it’s important to find a comprehensive forex trading system.

Where can you find a comprehensive forex trading system? Throughout the last three years, I’ve been through many trading systems obtained mostly from books, forums, or other websites. I’ve found that almost every time, I’ll mold that system into something totally different than the original incarnation, something that fits my personality and style of trading. Many times, the original system will also need to be expanded to include things that were neglected or forgotten. Those of you searching for the perfect system may find this method of modifying existing forex trading systems desirable. There are places where you can find the whole package without any need for modification.

This brings me to the question, "where did you get your forex trading system?" I think there are four main ways of getting a trading system.

  1. Buy it. There are tons for sale out there on the net but heed caution. Many were just copied from forums, books, or other websites. Sometimes when you buy forex education, part of the package will include a trading system. For instance, Rob Booker provides his Arizona rules as part of his mentoring program.
  2. Get a free one. There are many free systems that can be found in books, forums, or other websites. I guess one can question whether a system found is a book is free since you paid for the book.
  3. Create an original system yourself. My main trading system is an original creation. There may be other systems out there that are similar to it since it’s a culmination of years of exposure to other systems and experiences.
  4. Modify someone else’s system and make it your own. As I stated above, I have done this many times.

I’ve created a poll that asks you this question here. http://www.forexproject.com/forex-polls/

Popularity: 81%

Filed Under: Forex Trading Systems, Investing and Trading
Tagged: , , , , , ,

Rich is Trading Forex Again

Rich is Trading Forex Again


So after yet another hiatus from trading forex, I just recently had my first trade in months. It was a successful one also. But the question I want to answer is, “Is this blog dead?” The answer is no. I’ve made a living over the past 3 years ducking in and out of here depending on what’s going on in my life. Sometimes I’m just too swamped at my real job, other times I just don’t feel like writing, but I always come back. The great thing is I’ve built up a lot of content over the years so a lot of it applies to the type of forex trader you’re trying to become.

So where do I go from here? I’m in the mood to start trading forex again so that’s what I’m going to do. I’m also going to talk a little about stocks. I’ve had a lot of success, believe it or not, trading the stock market in the last couple of months and I think I’ve learned some things that I could apply to trading forex. So you’ll hear me talk about some of these things also.

DailyFX Forex Radio - Bernanke's Forecast For A Recession Weighs Dollar, Overshadows Dour UK Housing Data

By DailyFX Radio | April 2, 2008

Listen to our Evening DailyFX Forex Radio PodCast:

http://media.dailyfx.com/podcasts/FXRadioPM040208.mp3
Key Points

· Bernanke testimony calls for rising unemployment, deeper housing slump and a recession; are market forecasts of a 25bp cut reasonable?

· UK housing market crumbles as mortage approvals, construction activity and equity withdrawals plunge.

Tell us what you think of our podcast and send us an e-mail at research@dailyfx.com

To chat with us and other traders about currency trading, visit our very popular Forex Forum

Want to hear our PodCasts daily? Subscribe to them for free on iTunes.

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DailyFX Forex Radio - Dollar Finds Relief From Risk Trends, Bernanke Testimony May Feed Rate Speculation

By DailyFX Radio | April 1, 2008

Listen to our Evening DailyFX Forex Radio PodCast:

http://media.dailyfx.com/podcasts/FXRadioPM040108.mp3
Key Points

· Dollar boosted as headlines show that the dollar isn’t shouldering the financial crisis alone.

· A lull in event risk Wednesday will highlight Bernanke’s views on the US economy and focus speculation heading into Friday NFPs.

Tell us what you think of our podcast and send us an e-mail at research@dailyfx.com

To chat with us and other traders about currency trading, visit our very popular Forex Forum

Want to hear our PodCasts daily? Subscribe to them for free on iTunes

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DailyFX Forex Radio - No End Yet In Sight To Credit Crunch, RBA Decision And US ISM Promise Action

By DailyFX Radio | March 31, 2008

Listen to our Evening DailyFX Forex Radio PodCast:

http://media.dailyfx.com/podcasts/FXRadioPM033108.mp3
Key Points

· ECB finds support for hawkish policy stance in highest CPI reading in 16-years.

· ISM Manufacturing report offers dollar traders their first taste of top market moving event riskk this week.

Tell us what you think of our podcast and send us an e-mail at research@dailyfx.com

To chat with us and other traders about currency trading, visit our very popular Forex Forum

Want to hear our PodCasts daily? Subscribe to them for free on iTunes

Start at the top and work your way down.

By Tom Long | March 31, 2008

One of the important points we teach in the FXCM Power Courses is to trade in the direction of the trend on the daily chart. We recommend only trading the strongest trends as that is where you are likely to find the best trading opportunities. After having identified a strong trend on the daily chart, we then recommend moving down to an hourly or 4-hour chart to find your entry and exit, but only in the direction of the daily trend. Too often though, new traders lose their way and start with the short-term charts to find a trade and then move up to the daily chart to justify their choice. But this approach is not as effective as starting with the daily charts to find the strongest trends. These new traders want action and seem to be able to squeeze a trade out of the market even if there are few solid opportunities. This of course lowers the win percentage and profitability of your approach. We must start with the daily chart first and stick with the most obvious trends. Then if you move down to the intraday charts of those strongest trending markets and no trades are setting up, you must exercise discipline and patience to stay out of the market and not force a trade. Being okay with staying out of the market is key to long-term success. The idea is to trade the strongest setups instead of always being in a trade. So make sure your goals are prioritized to increase your chance of success and only trade when you have the best chance of winning.

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DailyFX Forex Radio - Data Puts Pound Strength In Question, Fed Chatter Holds The Dollar

By DailyFX Radio | March 27, 2008

Listen to our Evening DailyFX Forex Radio PodCast:

http://media.dailyfx.com/podcasts/FXRadioPM032708.mp3
Key Points

· Scheduled data disappoints pound though news the largest mortgage lender is boosting rates was the real concern.

· Japanese docket lined with top tier but imponent indicators, German CPI a policy guide though lacking a release time.

Tell us what you think of our podcast and send us an e-mail at research@dailyfx.com

To chat with us and other traders about currency trading, visit our very popular Forex Forum

Want to hear our PodCasts daily? Subscribe to them for free on iTunes

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DailyFX Forex Radio - Data Weighs On Dollar, IFO And Trichet Boost The Euro

By DailyFX Radio | March 26, 2008

Listen to our Evening DailyFX Forex Radio PodCast:

http://media.dailyfx.com/podcasts/FXRadioPM032608.mp3
Key Points

· Dollar back on the chopping block with disappointing housing and business spending data.

· Euro rallies back to 1.58 as data and ECB President Trichet confirm the Euro-Zone’s strength.

Tell us what you think of our podcast and send us an e-mail at research@dailyfx.com

To chat with us and other traders about currency trading, visit our very popular Forex Forum

Want to hear our PodCasts daily? Subscribe to them for free on iTunes

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Topics: DailyFX Radio Podcasts | 1 Comment »

DailyFX Forex Radio - Dollar Loses Its Risk Appeal As Data Draws A US Closer

By DailyFX Radio | March 25, 2008

Listen to our Evening DailyFX Forex Radio PodCast:

http://media.dailyfx.com/podcasts/FXRadioPM032508.mp3

Key Points

· Dollar can’t hold its risk correlation with?

· Economic docket holds event risk for Dollar, Euro and Kiwi tomorrow.

Tell us what you think of our podcast and send us an e-mail a

To chat with us and other traders about currency trading, visit our very popular

Want to hear our PodCasts daily? Subscribe to them for free on iTunes

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Topics: DailyFX Radio Podcasts | No Comments »

Take a step back to see the big picture.

By Tom Long | March 24, 2008

One issue I see with many new traders is that they use the shortest time frame charts to make their trading decisions. It is typical to see new traders use a 1-minute or 5-minute chart because they think that their risk is lower. Since they risk less on each trade, they must be better off. The problem is that these trades found on these charts usually result in more risk as you can have many losing trades in a row because of the volatility on those charts. In our FX Power Courses we recommend trading off of the hourly or 4-hour chart in the direction of the trend as seen on the daily chart. This way you are trading with the momentum of the market and are able to be in on some of the bigger moves that these markets are known for. Those big spikes on the 5-minute chart are easily explained on the longer-term charts as they usually are within a bigger move. So start with the daily chart to identify the direction of the trend and then move down to the hourly or 4-hour chart to find your trade. If the trend is up, then only look for buys and if the trend is down, then only look for sells. This does keep your risk acceptable and the potential profit big enough to cover those losing trades.

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DailyFX Forex Radio - Dollar Ends The Week Higher On Risk Aversion, Can Fundamentals Carry The Rebound?

By DailyFX Radio | March 21, 2008

Listen to our Evening DailyFX Forex Radio PodCast:

http://media.dailyfx.com/podcasts/FXRadioPM032108.mp3

Key Points

· Dollar ends the week with major rebounds against major counterparts, will data sustain the rally?

· Holiday liquidity quickly neutralizes the market, but risk could quickly revive volatility next week.

Tell us what you think of our podcast and send us an e-mail at

To chat with us and other traders about currency trading, visit our very popular

Want to hear our PodCasts daily? Subscribe to them for free on iTunes

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DailyFX Forex Radio: Market Squares Dollar Shorts, Loonie And Pound Top Market Movers For The Day

By DailyFX Radio | March 20, 2008

Listen to our Evening DailyFX Forex Radio PodCast:

http://media.dailyfx.com/podcasts/FXRadioPM032008.mp3

Key Points

· Traders square their books before the holiday weekend, giving the dollar a boost despite sour data.

· Fundamentals lead traders to reconsider UK and Canadian growth forecasts.

Tell us what you think of our podcast and send us an e-mail at

To chat with us and other traders about currency trading, visit our very popular

Want to hear our PodCasts daily? Subscribe to them for free on iTunes

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